Representing Random Utility Choice Models with Neural Networks
In "Seminars and talks"

Speakers

Dr Antoine Desir
Dr Antoine Desir

INSEAD

Antoine is an Assistant professor of Technology and Operations Management at INSEAD. His research applies mathematical modeling and analytics to operations management problems with an aim to: (1) quantify fundamental tradeoffs, and (2) design efficient data-driven algorithms to support operational decisions. More precisely, he focuses on revenue management and choice modeling with applications such as online advertising. He was an MSOM student paper finalist in 2014 and 2017 and a Nicholson student paper finalist in 2014 and 2015. He spent a year as a post-doctoral researcher at Google NYC.


Date:
Friday, 10 February 2023
Time:
10:00 am - 11:30 am
Venue:
Institute of Data Science
Innovation 4.0 01-03
3 Research Link
Singapore 117602 (Map)

Abstract

Motivated by the successes of deep learning, we propose a class of neural network-based discrete choice models, called RUMnets, which is inspired by the random utility maximization (RUM) framework. This model formulates the agents’ random utility function using the sample average approximation (SAA) method. We show that RUMnets sharply approximate the class of RUM discrete choice models: any model derived from random utility maximization has choice probabilities that can be approximated arbitrarily closely by a RUMnet. Reciprocally, any RUMnet is consistent with the RUM principle. We derive an upper bound on the generalization error of RUMnets fitted on choice data, and gain theoretical insights on their ability to predict choices on new, unseen data depending on critical parameters of the dataset and architecture.  By leveraging open-source libraries for neural networks, we find that RUMnets outperform other state-of-the-art choice modeling and machine learning methods by a significant margin on two real-world datasets. This is joint work with Ali Aouad (LBS).