Speakers
Yuan Shi
MIT Operations Research Center
| Yuan Shi is a final-year PhD student at the MIT Operations Research Center, advised by Prof. Karen Zheng. Her research combines optimization, game theory, and field experimentation to design practical solutions for social good, with applications in sustainability and social-sector operations. Her recent work addresses (i) incentive design for sustainable farming in smallholder supply chains, and (ii) data-driven decision-making to improve the effectiveness of nonprofit services. Prior to MIT, she worked as a financial derivative structurer at Morgan Stanley in London. She holds a B.A. in Natural Sciences (Physics) from the University of Cambridge and an M.S. in Management Science and Engineering from Stanford University. |
| Date: |
| Friday, 28 November 2025 |
| Time: |
| 10:00 am - 11:30 am |
| Venue: |
|
NUS Business School Mochtar Riady Building BIZ1 0302 15 Kent Ridge Drive Singapore 119245 (Map) |
Abstract
Achieving permanence in sustainable agriculture is a critical yet underexplored challenge, particularly among smallholder farmers in resource-constrained and price-volatile environments. This talk presents a novel approach to incentive design that combines analytical modeling with lab-in-the-field experimentation to inform the development of more robust and cost-effective sustainability interventions. The first study develops a multi-period principal-agent model in which producers make joint production and sustainability decisions over time under price uncertainty. The model addresses key gaps in literature and highlights two key insights: (i) supply-dependent incentives can significantly outperform fixed payments by mitigating the productivity-sustainability trade-off, and (ii) simple affine contracts, such as price premiums, can closely approximate the optimal mechanism. The second study tests these insights through two-stage lab-in-the-field experiments with Indonesian oil palm farmers. The initial experiment identifies systematic behavioral deviations from rational predictions, including cost aversion, bounded rationality and pro-environmental preferences, motivating a recalibrated behavioral design framework. The second experiment empirically verifies that behaviorally informed price premiums jointly improve compliance and productivity relative to equal-cost fixed payments. Together, these studies propose a generalizable and iterative design process that bridges the gap between stylized models and real-world implementation. The results offer practical implications for designing durable, scalable sustainability programs.
