{"id":1961,"date":"2020-03-04T09:39:46","date_gmt":"2020-03-04T09:39:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/?p=1961"},"modified":"2020-06-12T09:01:37","modified_gmt":"2020-06-12T09:01:37","slug":"more-on-missing-currency-union-observations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/2020\/03\/04\/more-on-missing-currency-union-observations\/","title":{"rendered":"More on Missing Currency Union Observations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">X-Sender: arose@haas.berkeley.edu<br \/>\nX-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 5.1<br \/>\nDate: Mon, 28 Jan 2002 08:49:31 -0800<br \/>\nTo: tenreyro@fas.harvard.edu<br \/>\nFrom: Andrew Rose &lt;arose@haas.berkeley.edu&gt;<br \/>\nSubject: More on Missing Currency Union Observations<br \/>\nCc: arose@haas.berkeley.edu<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">I&#8217;ve now checked a little further into the issue of missing data (I&#8217;ll post my data set on the web within the hour).\u00a0 The IMF&#8217;s Direction of Trade seems like it may have fewer missing observations than the WTDB.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">In my (DoT) data set, I have observations for 18 of the 20 years for bilateral trade between CAR and Chad (you assert that the WTDB only has 9), and for 17 of the 20 for trade between CAR and Cote d&#8217;Ivoire (you only have 12).\u00a0 I list the observations in my program pst2 (which I both attach and append at the bottom of this message).<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Now I don&#8217;t have the most up to date version of the WTDB CDs.\u00a0 I have the 1997 ones distributed to NBER members which only go to 1992.\u00a0 For that, there are observations for only 4 years between CAR (country code 141400) and Chad (141480), and 8 years between CAR and Cote d&#8217;Ivoire (163840).\u00a0 The years also line up closely (though not exactly) with the ones you mention in your paper on p 14.\u00a0 The following are extracts from the file WT_BILAT.ASC:<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141400 141480\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 177 78<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141400 141480\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 226 79<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141400 141480\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 253 80<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141400 141480\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1669 89<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141480 141400\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1635 78<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141480 141400\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 563 79<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141480 141400\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 485 80<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141480 141400\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 90 89<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141400 163840\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 715 78<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141400 163840\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1504 79<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141400 163840\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 523 80<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141400 163840\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 687 81<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141400 163840\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 379 82<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141400 163840\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 385 83<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141400 163840\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 473 85<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">141400 163840\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 996 89<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">163840 141400\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 85 78<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">163840 141400\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 271 79<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">163840 141400\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 959 80<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">163840 141400\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 275 81<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">163840 141400\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 307 82<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">163840 141400\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 136 83<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">163840 141400\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 16 85<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">So it seems like the WTDB simply has fewer observations that the DoT data set.\u00a0 Using either data sampled every 5 years, or temporally averaged data, the DoT gives no indication that missing observations are the source of any bias for the effect of CU on trade.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">What do you think?\u00a0 Over to you &#8212;<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 log:\u00a0 C:\\res\\cuts\\progs\\pst2.log<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0 log type:\u00a0 text<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0opened on:\u00a0 28 Jan 2002, 08:26:05<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. *<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. * This STATA program tabulates data for the CFA countries that<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. * Tenreyro lists on her page 14.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. *<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. set more 1<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. set mem 100m<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">(102400k)<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. *<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. * Read in the data set<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. *<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. use \\res\\cuts\\data\\data7ast<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. *<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. * List the data.\u00a0 CAR is 626; Chad is 628 and Cote d&#8217;ivoire is 662.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. *<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. * CAR and Chad post &#8217;77<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. *<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. list trade year if cty1==626&amp;cty2==628&amp;year&gt;1977<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 trade\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 year<\/p>\n<ol start=\"1274831\">\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">13135.78\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1978<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">5194.03\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1979<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">4709.69\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1980<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">15586.78\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1981<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">15437.03\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1982<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1983<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1984<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">1260.603\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1985<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">1327.313\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1986<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">1536.399\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1987<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">1845.313\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1988<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">1936.965\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1989<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">2112.938\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1990<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">2549.745\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1991<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">2861.125\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1992<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">2040.026\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1993<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">4803.166\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1994<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">6077.008\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1995<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">6947.66\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1996<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">7467.592\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1997<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. *<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. * CAR and Cote d&#8217;Ivoire post &#8217;77<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. *<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. list trade year if cty1==626&amp;cty2==662&amp;year&gt;1977<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 trade\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 year<\/p>\n<ol start=\"1275481\">\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">4536.978\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1978<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">10388.06\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1979<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">7823.185\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1980<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">5707.478\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1981<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">3040.401\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1982<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">2811.715\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1983<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1984<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">4135.688\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1985<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">16186.92\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1986<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1987<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1988<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">3899.983\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1989<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">2558.077\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1990<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">1420.624\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1991<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">27314.09\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1992<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">21383.65\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1993<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">29571.58\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1994<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">51312.94\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1995<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">128071.6\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1996<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\">137655.7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1997<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. *<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. * Clean up and close down<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. *<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. drop _all<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. set more 0<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. set mem 1m<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">(1024k)<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">. log close<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 log:\u00a0 C:\\res\\cuts\\progs\\pst2.log<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0 log type:\u00a0 text<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0closed on:\u00a0 28 Jan 2002, 08:27:51<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">********<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Andrew K. Rose, Rocca Professor Tel: (510) 642-6609<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Haas School of Business\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Fax: (510) 642-4700<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">University of California\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 E-mail: arose@haas.berkeley.edu<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400\">Berkeley, CA 94720-1900\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 URL:\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/faculty.haas.berkeley.edu\/arose\">http:\/\/faculty.haas.berkeley.edu\/arose<\/a><\/p>\n<pre><\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>X-Sender: arose@haas.berkeley.edu X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 5.1 Date: Mon, 28 Jan 2002 08:49:31 -0800 To: tenreyro@fas.harvard.edu From: Andrew Rose &lt;arose@haas.berkeley.edu&gt; Subject: More on Missing Currency Union Observations Cc: arose@haas.berkeley.edu I&#8217;ve now checked a little further into the issue of missing data (I&#8217;ll post my data set on the web within the hour).\u00a0 The IMF&#8217;s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_oasis_task_priority":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1961","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v18.0 (Yoast SEO v21.8.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>More on Missing Currency Union Observations - Dean<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/2020\/03\/04\/more-on-missing-currency-union-observations\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"More on Missing Currency Union Observations\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"X-Sender: arose@haas.berkeley.edu X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 5.1 Date: Mon, 28 Jan 2002 08:49:31 -0800 To: tenreyro@fas.harvard.edu From: Andrew Rose &lt;arose@haas.berkeley.edu&gt; Subject: More on Missing Currency Union Observations Cc: arose@haas.berkeley.edu I&#8217;ve now checked a little further into the issue of missing data (I&#8217;ll post my data set on the web within the hour).\u00a0 The IMF&#8217;s [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/2020\/03\/04\/more-on-missing-currency-union-observations\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Dean\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-03-04T09:39:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-06-12T09:01:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"bizkjo\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"bizkjo\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/2020\/03\/04\/more-on-missing-currency-union-observations\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/2020\/03\/04\/more-on-missing-currency-union-observations\/\",\"name\":\"More on Missing Currency Union Observations - Dean\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2020-03-04T09:39:46+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-06-12T09:01:37+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/#\/schema\/person\/8d7b3bf968314863c2b00f88e22f2eb8\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/2020\/03\/04\/more-on-missing-currency-union-observations\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/2020\/03\/04\/more-on-missing-currency-union-observations\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/2020\/03\/04\/more-on-missing-currency-union-observations\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"More on Missing Currency Union Observations\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/\",\"name\":\"Dean\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/#\/schema\/person\/8d7b3bf968314863c2b00f88e22f2eb8\",\"name\":\"bizkjo\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8a4789f476dc5f28ae606fa949d5c251?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8a4789f476dc5f28ae606fa949d5c251?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"bizkjo\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/author\/bizkjo\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"More on Missing Currency Union Observations - Dean","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/bschool.nus.edu.sg\/dean\/2020\/03\/04\/more-on-missing-currency-union-observations\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"More on Missing Currency Union Observations","og_description":"X-Sender: arose@haas.berkeley.edu X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 5.1 Date: Mon, 28 Jan 2002 08:49:31 -0800 To: tenreyro@fas.harvard.edu From: Andrew Rose &lt;arose@haas.berkeley.edu&gt; 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